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Championship header 2

League Two

Cheltenham Town
League Two
Jun 22, 2020 at 8pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Northampton Town

Cheltenham
0 - 3
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliver (9'), Morton (57', 77')
Olayinka (79'), Morton (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Callum Morton hit a brace and Vadaine Oliver was also on target.

Preview

Sports Mole previews the second leg of the League Two playoff semi-final between Cheltenham Town and Northampton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawNorthampton Town
44.32%25.45%30.23%
Both teams to score 54.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72%49.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67%71.33%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8%22.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4%55.6%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83%30.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67%66.33%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 44.32%
    Northampton Town 30.23%
    Draw 25.44%
Cheltenham TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.02%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.23%

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