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EFL Cup

Grimsby Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Morecambe

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Morecambe

Green (34')
FT
(aet)
Phillips (7')
Slew (44')
Morecambe win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Grimsby Town and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.23%).

Result
Grimsby TownDrawMorecambe
51.56%24.72%23.72%
Both teams to score 51.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31%50.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4%72.6%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35%19.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38%51.62%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9%36.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12%72.88%
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 51.56%
    Morecambe 23.72%
    Draw 24.72%
Grimsby TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.54%
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.56%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 23.72%