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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 33% | 26.23% | 40.77% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% | 51.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.59% | 73.41% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% | 29.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% | 24.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% | 59.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.77% |