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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%).
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Exeter City |
| 48.96% | 24.74% | 26.3% |
| Both teams to score 53.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% | 70.76% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% | 19.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% | 52.03% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% | 32.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% | 69.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.3% |