Newport County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2020 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
Cheltenham Town

Newport
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Willmott (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reid (70')
Chamberlain (90')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Cheltenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCheltenham Town
45.7%27.94%26.36%
Both teams to score 44.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.4%60.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31%80.69%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47%26.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27%61.73%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.76%39.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05%75.95%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.7%
    Cheltenham Town 26.36%
    Draw 27.93%
Newport CountyDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 26.36%