Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
