Newport County vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.