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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Swansea City |
| 37.59% | 26.08% | 36.33% |
| Both teams to score 53.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% | 72.42% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% | 26.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% | 61.25% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% | 62.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.33% |