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Championship | Gameweek 39
Jun 27, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
0 - 1
Luton


Wilmot (45+1'), Gallagher (89')
Garrick (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collins (72')
Butterfield (30'), Rea (32'), Ruddock (83')

The Match

Match Report

The hosts had Jordon Garrick sent off for aiming a punch at Collins late on.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
60.88%22.13%16.99%
Both teams to score 49.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47%48.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34%70.66%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53%15.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65%44.35%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03%41.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59%78.41%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 60.88%
    Luton Town 16.99%
    Draw 22.13%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.11%
4-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.22%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 60.88%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.64%
1-2 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.99%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Luton
0-1
Swansea

Collins (45')
Ayew (82')
Bidwell (37'), Byers (79')
Feb 22, 2008 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Luton
Butler (79')

Spring (17'), Davis (60')
Davis (69')
Jan 12, 2008 3pm
Luton
1-3
Swansea
Furlong (74')
Jackson (62')
Keane (5' og.), Bauza (64'), Scotland (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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