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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 34.86% | 25.7% | 39.43% |
| Both teams to score 55.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% | 49.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% | 71.1% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% | 27.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% | 62.42% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% | 24.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.04% | 58.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.86% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 4.02% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.43% |