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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%).
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
34.03% | 25.65% | 40.32% |
Both teams to score 55.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% | 48.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% | 71.02% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% | 27.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% | 63.03% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% | 24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.75% | 58.25% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
> Championship Full Table |