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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%).
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
| 34.03% | 25.65% | 40.32% |
| Both teams to score 55.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% | 48.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% | 71.02% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% | 27.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% | 63.03% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% | 24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% | 58.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.32% |