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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
| 39.54% | 26.53% | 33.93% |
| Both teams to score 52.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% | 52.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.71% | 74.29% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% | 26.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% | 61.14% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% | 29.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% | 65.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.93% |