Birmingham

1 - 3

Swansea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.