Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Jul 4, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Martin (90+6')
Sibley (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lolley (12')
Ameobi (90+1'), Ribeiro (90+3'), Worrall (90+6')

Reaction

Derby County's Wayne Rooney in action with Nottingham Forest's Samba Sow on July 4, 2020

Forest assistant slams "unacceptable" dropped points in East Midlands derby

Chris Martin scored in the seventh minute of added time.

Jul 4, 16:41

The Match

Match Report

The Rams' leveller came deep in second-half stoppage time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
49.62%	24.77%	25.61%

Both teams to score 53.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73%

49.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67%

71.32%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12%

19.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.01%

51.99%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32%

33.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67%

70.33%

Score Analysis

Derby County 49.61%

Nottingham Forest 25.61%

Draw 24.77%

Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.61%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.61%