Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Jul 12, 2020 at 1.30pm UK

Liberty Stadium

Swansea
0 - 1
Leeds

Brewster (29'), Fulton (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (89')
Klich (31'), Harrison (75'), Hernandez (90')

Reaction

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on July 4, 2020

Marcelo Bielsa pleased with "step forward" against Swansea

Four points from three games would see the Yorkshire club return to the Premier League after a 16-year absence.

Jul 12, 16:23

The Match

Match Report

The Spaniard's winner stopped Swansea from moving into the play-off places.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Leeds United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Leeds United
21.41%	23.63%	54.96%

Both teams to score 51.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.38%

48.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.26%

70.74%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.87%

37.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.08%

73.91%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44%

17.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89%

48.11%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 21.41%

Leeds United 54.96%

Draw 23.63%

Swansea City	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.2% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.41%	1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 11.34% 0-2 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 5.67% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.96%