Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Jun 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 1
Luton

Dallas (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cornick (50')
McManaman (2'), Carter-Vickers (55'), Cornick (79'), Potts (87'), Collins (88')

Reaction

Leeds boss Marcelo Bielsa pops a squat on February 15, 2020

Marcelo Bielsa bemoans Leeds wastefulness during Luton draw

Leeds missed the chance to move six points clear at the top of the Sky Bet Championship after the home draw.

Jun 30, 23:00

The Match

Match Report

Harry Cornick curled Luton into an early second-half lead before Stuart Dallas fired Leeds level just after the hour.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Luton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 73.43%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 9.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Luton Town
73.43%	17.19%	9.39%

Both teams to score 43.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3%

44.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93%

67.07%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.33%

10.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.46%

34.54%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.18%

51.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.12%

85.89%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 73.41%

Luton Town 9.39%

Draw 17.19%

Leeds United	Draw	Luton Town
2-0 @ 13.84% 1-0 @ 12.37% 3-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 6.79% 4-0 @ 5.78% 4-1 @ 3.8% 5-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.68% Total : 73.41%	1-1 @ 8.13% 0-0 @ 5.53% 2-2 @ 2.99% Other @ 0.54% Total : 17.19%	0-1 @ 3.63% 1-2 @ 2.67% 0-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.39%

Build-up

Leeds United's Pablo Hernandez pictured in February 2020

Pablo Hernandez: 'Promotion with Leeds would be career highlight'

Leeds face Luton at Elland Road on Tuesday.

Jun 29, 17:07