Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Jul 9, 2020 at 5pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
5 - 0
Stoke

Klich (45' pen.), Costa (47'), Cooper (57'), Hernandez (72'), Bamford (90+3')
White (4'), Dallas (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martins Indi (59'), Cousins (63')

Reaction

Leeds United players celebrate during their victory over Stoke on July 9, 2020

Michael O'Neill backs Championship's "best team" Leeds to win promotion

"They're the best team we've played," said Michael O'Neill.

Jul 9, 19:36

The Match

Match Report

The Whites turned in a classy display to edge closer to a Premier League return.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Stoke City
60.72%	23.05%	16.23%

Both teams to score 44.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66%

53.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12%

74.87%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.8%

17.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.52%

47.47%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.19%

45.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.43%

81.57%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 60.71%

Stoke City 16.23%

Draw 23.04%

Leeds United	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.86% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.04%	0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.23%