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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 50.68% | 24.86% | 24.45% |
| Both teams to score 51.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% | 50.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% | 72.49% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% | 19.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.88% | 52.12% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% | 35.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.86% | 72.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 9.17% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.79% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2% Total : 24.45% |