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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
| 34.84% | 26.76% | 38.4% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% | 53.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% | 75.01% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% | 29.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% | 65.18% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% | 27.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.84% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.39% |