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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
| 35.67% | 26.98% | 37.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% | 54.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% | 75.68% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% | 29.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% | 65.03% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% | 63.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.35% |