Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Jul 1, 2020 at 6pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Bristol City

Silva (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Weimann (45+4'), Vyner (84')
Williams (78')

Reaction

Nottingham Forest boss Sabri Lamouchi on February 1, 2020

Sabri Lamouchi talks up importance of Nottingham Forest win over Bristol City

The Reds moved up to fourth in the second-tier standings.

Jul 1, 20:13

The Match

Match Report

The Robins are now six points off the play-offs.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Bristol City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Bristol City
48.3%	25.46%	26.23%

Both teams to score 51.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36%

51.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57%

73.42%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62%

54.38%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85%

71.15%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 48.3%

Bristol City 26.23%

Draw 25.46%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.41% Total : 48.3%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.23%