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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
| 27.95% | 25.28% | 46.77% |
| Both teams to score 53.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% | 49.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% | 71.79% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% | 68.58% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% | 54.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.95% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.76% |