Championship

Jul 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Griffin Park

Brentford
3 - 1
Swansea

Watkins (11'), Marcondes (15'), Mbeumo (46')
Dalsgaard (9'), Benrahma (83'), T. (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brewster (78')
Cabango (54'), Dhanda (75'), Ayew (82'), Roberts (90+3')

Reaction

Brentford boss Thomas Frank on July 18, 2020

Thomas Frank: 'Brentford have massive belief heading into playoff final'

The Bees will face Fulham or Cardiff in the play-off final.

Jul 29, 22:29

The Match

Match Report

The Bees overturned Swansea's one-goal lead from the first leg.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship playoff semi-final second leg between Brentford and Swansea, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Swansea City
54.46%	23.41%	22.13%

Both teams to score 53.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11%

46.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86%

69.14%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.89%

17.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.68%

47.31%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55%

35.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78%

72.22%

Score Analysis

Brentford 54.45%

Swansea City 22.13%

Draw 23.41%

Brentford	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.45% 3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.84% Total : 54.45%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.13%