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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 53.58% | 25.19% | 21.23% |
| Both teams to score 47.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% | 54.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% | 76.18% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% | 20.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% | 52.96% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.13% | 40.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.56% | 77.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.23% |