Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Walsall in this match.
