Sunderland
5 - 3
Carlisle

Maguire (26', 54'), Hume (37'), Wyke (69'), Diamond (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Alessandra (6' pen.), Mellish (72', 82')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sunderland and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Carlisle United
49.23%	24.97%	25.79%

Both teams to score 52.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02%

49.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03%

71.97%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67%

20.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.29%

52.71%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09%

33.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41%

70.58%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 49.23%

Carlisle United 25.79%

Draw 24.97%

Sunderland	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.23%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.79%