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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 33.46% | 25.51% | 41.03% |
| Both teams to score 55.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% | 70.57% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% | 27.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% | 63.17% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% | 23.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% | 57.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.03% |