League Two Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Adam Crookes 20' yellowcard
  • Danny Whitehead 41' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Alessandra 42'
  • goal Jon Mellish 55'

Port Vale vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 0 Barrow
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jon Mellish

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 45.48%
Draw 26.45%
Carlisle United 28.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.95%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.64%
Under 2.5 54.36%
Over 3.5 24.26%
Under 3.5 75.74%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 76.17%
Under 0.5 23.83%
Over 1.5 41.99%
Under 1.5 58.01%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 65.59%
Under 0.5 34.41%
Over 1.5 28.88%
Under 1.5 71.13%

Score analysis

Port Vale 45.48%
Draw 26.44%
Carlisle United 28.07%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.44%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.07%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 4, 2020 3.00pm
Brunton Park
League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Worrall 60' goal
  • James Gibbons 75' yellowcard
  • Mark Cullen 83' goal
  • Cristian Montano 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Loft 1'
  • yellowcard Canice Carroll 53'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 87'
League Two Gameweek 30
Jan 26, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Ricky Miller 41' redcard
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 33'
  • goal Connor Simpson 79'
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 90'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
  • Danny Grainger 30' goal
  • Tom Parkes 84' goal
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 41'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 64'
  • goal Luke Hannant 88'
League Two
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dior Angus 34' goal
  • Antony Kay 85' redcard
  • goal Ashley Nadesan 51'
  • goal Hallam Hope 70'
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 89'
League Two
Dec 16, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richie Bennett 81' goal
  • goal Tyrone Barnett 50'
  • goal Tom Pope 68'