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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 45.48% | 26.45% | 28.07% |
| Both teams to score 49.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% | 54.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% | 75.74% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% | 58.01% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% | 34.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% | 71.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.07% |