Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
