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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Globe Arena
Port Vale

Morecambe
1 - 0
Port Vale

Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Legge (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Port Vale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawPort Vale
27.65%26.18%46.16%
Both teams to score 50.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42%53.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91%75.09%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66%34.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96%71.04%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.06%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 27.65%
    Port Vale 46.16%
    Draw 26.18%
MorecambeDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 4.55%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 11.63%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.16%