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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Port Vale |
| 54.4% | 24.84% | 20.76% |
| Both teams to score 47.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.91% | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% | 75.52% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% | 19.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% | 51.94% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.09% | 40.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.53% | 77.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 5.12% 4-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.74% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.76% |