Port Vale

2 - 0

Crawley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.