League Two

League Two | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 0
Barrow

Mellish (24')
Mellish (10'), Anderton (70'), Guy (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Quigley (75'), Brough (80'), Hardcastle (90+4'), Kay (90+7')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Barrow
44.05%	26.34%	29.61%

Both teams to score 51.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78%

53.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22%

74.79%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97%

24.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.71%

58.29%

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35%

32.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.8%

69.2%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 44.04%

Barrow 29.61%

Draw 26.34%

Carlisle United	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.61%

League Two

Carlisle1 - 0Barrow

Data Analysis

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Carlisle
1 - 0
Barrow