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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Southend United |
43.57% | 25.84% | 30.6% |
Both teams to score 53.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% | 50.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% | 72.67% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% | 23.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% | 57.09% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% | 30.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% | 66.93% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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