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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Southend United |
43.57% | 25.84% | 30.6% |
Both teams to score 53.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% | 50.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% | 72.67% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% | 23.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% | 57.09% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% | 30.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% | 66.93% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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