Ebbsfleet United
National League South
Dec 6, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

1-2

Samuel (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dolaghan (26'), Coleman De-Graft (90+1' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Worthing
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League South
Next Game: Chelmsford City vs. Ebbsfleet
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Worthing
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League South
Next Game: Worthing vs. Farnborough
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawWorthing
38.61%25.08%36.3%
Both teams to score 57.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92%46.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62%68.38%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4%23.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32%57.68%
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56%59.44%
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 38.61%
    Worthing 36.3%
    Draw 25.08%
EbbsfleetDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 11.79%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 0.96%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.3%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Ebbsfleet
7-2
Worthing
Coulthirst (21'), Bingham (27'), O'Neill (45'), Sterling-James (49'), Edser (62'), Poleon (83'), Clifford (85')
Meekums (11'), Barker (80')
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 22
Worthing
0-6
Ebbsfleet
Poleon (19', 34'), O'Neill (37' pen.), Chapman (45'), Domi (65'), McQueen (79')