Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.