Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.35% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.42%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%) , while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.