Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Brackley Town had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%) , while for a Brackley Town win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.