National League Gameweek 10
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
Aband. Crown Oil Arena
  • Ryan East 52' goal
  • Joe Pritchard 71' yellowcard
  • Casey Pettit 71' yellowcard
  • Dan Moss 73' yellowcard
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 74' goal
  • goal Oli Coker 6'
  • yellowcard Harry Boyes 57'
  • yellowcard Cavanagh Miley 58'
  • yellowcard James Morton 62'
  • yellowcard Josh Walker 63'
  • yellowcard Tom Hopper 70'

Rochdale vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 0 - 0 Truro City
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tarryn Allarakhia

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Boston 0 - 0 Southend
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Gus Scott-Morriss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.19% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Rochdale 48.96% (+2.17)
Draw 26.19% (-0.70)
Southend United 24.85% (-1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.73% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.45% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 26.55% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 48.54% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 51.46% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 26.25% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 73.75% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 14.19% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 85.81% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 35.56% (+0.89)
Draw 40.87% (-0.75)
Southend United 23.57% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 56.47%
No Goal 7.51% (-0.13)
Southend United 36.02% (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 52.85% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.72% (-0.05)
Under 8 35.43% (+0.26)
Over 9 41.36% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.08)
Under 9 47.15% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 30.99% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 69.01% (+0.08)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 45.1% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 54.9% (-1.47)
Over 2.5 19.58% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 80.42% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 6.73% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 93.27% (-0.29)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 61.12% (-1.04)
Under 0.5 38.88% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 26.46% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 73.54% (+1.11)
Over 2.5 8.3% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 91.7% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 2.19% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.81% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Rochdale 48.96%
Draw 26.2%
Southend United 24.86%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.69% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 10.14% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.35)
3-1 @ 4.64% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 4.51% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.30)
Other @ 6.65% (+0.39)
Total : 48.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.10)
Total : 26.2%
Southend United
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.37)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.11% (-0.15)
Total : 24.86%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 20, 2025 5.30pm
National League
May 15, 2025 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
ET Spotland Stadium
  • Devante Rodney 8' goal
  • Jay Bird 28' goal
  • Devante Rodney 56' goal
  • Aidan Barlow 67' yellowcard
  • Liam Hogan 72' yellowcard
  • Kyron Gordon 114' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Ralph 22'
  • goal Tom Hopper 75'
  • goal Leon Chambers-Parillon 80'
  • goal Charley Kendall 101'
  • yellowcard Leon Chambers-Parillon 114'
  • yellowcard Gus Scott-Morriss 117'
National League Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 40' yellowcard
  • Ben Goodliffe 76' yellowcard
  • Macauley Bonne 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Hogan 84' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 17'
  • goal Devante Rodney 21'
  • yellowcard Jili Buyabu 71'
  • yellowcard Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 79'
National League Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 26' yellowcard
  • Jili Buyabu 49' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Walker 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joe Gubbins 55'
  • yellowcard Adam Crowther 79'
  • yellowcard Keenan Appiah-Forson 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 12.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 8' goal
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 14'
  • goal Cian Hayes 42'
  • yellowcard Tiernan Brooks 65'
  • goal Devante Rodney 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 13
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jimmy Keohane 10' goal
  • Kairo Mitchell 24' goal
  • yellowcard Cavanagh Miley 4'
  • goal Harry Cardwell 26'
  • yellowcard Jack Bridge 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Jason Demetriou 56'
  • goal Harry Cardwell 64'
  • yellowcard Harry Cardwell 67'