Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.19% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.