Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.