Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Altrincham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.