National League
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ian Henderson 79' goal
  • goal Maxim Kouogun 21'
  • goal Luke Charman 28'

Rochdale vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Hartlepool 1 - 2 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.81% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Rochdale 51.72% (-0.19)
Draw 24.81% (+0.02)
Hartlepool United 23.47% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.75% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.25% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 26.92% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 73.08% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 12.6% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 87.4% (-0.05)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 80.2% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 19.8% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 48.13% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.86% (+0.07)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 63.37% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 36.63% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 26.58% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 73.41% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Rochdale 51.72%
Draw 24.8%
Hartlepool United 23.47%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.8%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 7.28% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.92% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.98% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Devante Rodney 6' goal
  • Ian Henderson 20' goal
  • Leon Ayinde 25' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Devante Rodney 52' goal
  • Jay Bird 85' goal
  • goal Nicky Featherstone 11'
National League Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Nathan Sheron 36' yellowcard
  • goal Connor McBride 45'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 56'
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 58'
  • goal Devante Rodney 79'
National League Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Kairo Mitchell 39' redcard
  • Kyron Gordon 89' yellowcard
  • Devante Rodney 90'+6' goal
  • goal Joe Grey 65'
  • yellowcard Joe Grey 66'
  • yellowcard Tom Crawford 78'
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 90'+3'
National League Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Nicky Featherstone 45'+6' goal
  • Christopher Wreh 76' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 83' goal
  • goal Cian Hayes 3'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 33'
  • goal Ryan East 45'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Umerah 54' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 64' goal
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ian Henderson 60' goal
  • goal Rollin Menayese 39'
  • goal Callum Cooke 80'