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Rochdale
National League
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Hartlepool United

Rochdale
1-2
HartlepoolHartlepool United

Henderson (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kouogun (21'), Charman (28')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League
Next Game: Rochdale vs. Brackley Town
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League
Next Game: Woking vs. Hartlepool
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.81% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
51.72% (-0.184 -0.18)24.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)23.47% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.82% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (0.079999999999998 0.08)51.25% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (0.069000000000003 0.07)73.08% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)19.8% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)51.86% (0.067 0.07)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (0.195 0.2)36.63% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (0.2 0.2)73.41% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.72%
    Hartlepool United 23.47%
    Draw 24.8%
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.72%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2025 3pm
gameweek 45
Rochdale
5-1
Hartlepool
Rodney (6' pen., 52'), Henderson (20'), Ayinde (25'), Bird (85')
Ebanks-Landell (45+2')
Featherstone (11')
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Hartlepool
0-3
Rochdale

Sheron (36')
McBride (45'), Mitchell (58'), Rodney (79')
Burger (56')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
gameweek 43
Rochdale
1-1
Hartlepool
Rodney (90+6')
Gordon (89')
Mitchell (39')
Grey (65')
Grey (66'), Crawford (78'), Parkes (90+3')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 18
Hartlepool
2-3
Rochdale
Featherstone (45+6'), Dieseruvwe (83')
Wreh (76')
Hayes (3'), Keohane (33'), East (45+2')
(90+6')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
gameweek 28
Hartlepool
2-0
Rochdale
Umerah (54'), Hamilton (64')