Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 31.56% ( | 25.89% ( | 42.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( | 50.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( | 72.52% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( | 29.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( | 66.04% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( | 23.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( | 57.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 3-0 @ 2.07% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.55% |