Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.