Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.99% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.