Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.85% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%) , while for a Tamworth win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.