Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.49% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.