National League
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Nolan 47' goal
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 71' yellowcard
  • Ludwig Francillette 85' yellowcard
  • Ludwig Francillette 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Pritchard 27'
  • yellowcard Joe Pritchard 28'
  • goal Ian Henderson 45'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ebanks-Landell 78'
  • goal Harvey Gilmour 81'

Morecambe vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 12.00pm
Brackley Town 0 - 2 Morecambe
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
Altrincham 0 - 3 Rochdale
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.49% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 21.61% (+0.03)
Draw 23.49% (-0.05)
Rochdale 54.89% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.56% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.2% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 47.79% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 30.01% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 69.98% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 14.68% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 85.32% (-0.14)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 63.54% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 36.45% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 26.75% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 73.24% (-0.15)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 82.71% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 17.28% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 52.37% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 47.62% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Morecambe 21.61%
Draw 23.49%
Rochdale 54.89%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.21% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 21.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 23.49%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 9.8% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.71% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.89%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Sam Lavelle 23' goal
  • Sam Lavelle 55' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 61' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Tavares 86'
  • goal Alex Newby 90'+3'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jim McNulty 24' yellowcard
  • Andy Cannon 82' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Mullin 17'
  • yellowcard Shaun Miller 79'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 88'
League Two
Feb 15, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Scott Hogan 35' goal
  • Matthew Lund 40' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 73' goal
  • Michael Rose 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Redshaw 32'
League Two
Nov 16, 2013 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Sampson 20' yellowcard
  • Chris McCready 85' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 89' goal
  • Joe Mwasile 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Hughes 64' (OG)
  • goal Scott Hogan 66'
League Two
Mar 2, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Fleming 4' yellowcard
  • Chris McCready 9' goal
  • Kevin Ellison 60' goal
  • Andrew Fleming 63' goal
League Two
Oct 13, 2012 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • George Donnelly 60' yellowcard
  • George Donnelly 73' goal
  • Andrew Tutte 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Redshaw 10'
  • yellowcard Andrew Fleming 21'
  • goal Jack Redshaw 66'