National League

Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Morecambe
1-2
Rochdale

Nolan (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henderson (45'), Gilmour (81')

Coverage of the National League clash between Morecambe and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Rochdale
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Next Game: Carlisle vs. Morecambe
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Rochdale
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Next Game: Rochdale vs. Hartlepool
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.49% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Rochdale
21.61% ( 0.02)	23.49% ( -0.04)	54.89% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.56% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.2% (

0.21)

47.79% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.01% (

0.19)

69.98% (

-0.19)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

0.14)

36.45% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75% (

0.14)

73.24% (

-0.14)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.71% (

0.08)

17.28% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.37% (

0.15)

47.62% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 21.61%

Rochdale 54.89%

Draw 23.49%

Morecambe	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.61%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 54.89%