Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.