Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.