Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.