National League Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale vs Truro City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 7.45pm
Solihull 0 - 1 Rochdale
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tarryn Allarakhia

Truro City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Truro City 3 - 3 Brackley Town
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Aiden Marsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw has a probability of 16.51% and a win for Truro City has a probability of 8.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.55%) , while for a Truro City win it is 0-1 (3.38%).

Result

Rochdale 74.63% (+0.09)
Draw 16.51% (+0.03)
Truro City 8.84% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.17% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.64% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.21% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 41.79% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 36.23% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 63.77% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 25.77% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 74.23% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 54.59% (-0.31)
Draw 34.26% (+0.37)
Truro City 11.15% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 75.31% (-0.15)
No Goal 5.3% (+0.05)
Truro City 19.39% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 59.49% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.4% (-0.02)
Under 8 29.11% (+0.09)
Over 9 47.71% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.04)
Under 9 40.51% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 36.56% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63.44% (+0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 67.37%
Under 1.5 32.63%
Over 2.5 42.21% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 57.79% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 21.69% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 78.31% (-0.07)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5 37.99% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 62.01% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 11.37% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 88.63% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 2.57% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 97.43% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 0.58% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 99.42% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Rochdale 74.64%
Draw 16.5%
Truro City 8.84%
Rochdale
2-0 @ 12.54% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 11.66%
3-0 @ 10.87% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 21.62% (+0.08)
Total : 74.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.55% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.01% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 16.5%
Truro City
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.51% (-0.04)
Total : 8.84%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT