Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.64% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 8.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 3-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%) , while for a Truro City win it was 0-1 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.