National League Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Roots Hall Stadium

Southend United vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Aldershot 0 - 0 Southend
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Gus Scott-Morriss

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Morecambe 2 - 2 Tamworth
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southend United win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw has a probability of 15.46% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 8.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.11%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.71%) , while for a Morecambe win it is 0-1 (3.09%).

Result

Southend United 76.44%
Draw 15.46% (+0.03)
Morecambe 8.12% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.82% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 60.13% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.87% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.7%
Under 3.5 62.3%
Over 4.5 26.99% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.01% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Southend United 56.08% (+0.05)
Draw 31.98% (-0.05)
Morecambe 11.94% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Southend United 74.22% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.39% (+0.01)
Morecambe 21.39% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 70.86% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.87%
Under 8 19.27% (-0.02)
Over 9 59.6% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 29.14% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 47.92% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 52.08% (-0.03)

Southend United Goals

Over 1.5 69.25%
Under 1.5 30.75%
Over 2.5 43.87% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 56.13% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.13% (-0.03)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 38.8% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 61.2% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 11.28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 88.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 1.81% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 98.19% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.38%
Under 3.5 99.62%

Score analysis

Southend United 76.44%
Draw 15.47%
Morecambe 8.13%
Southend United
2-0 @ 12.3% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.11%
3-0 @ 10.58% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.22%
3-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 22.86% (+0.02)
Total : 76.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.71% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.47%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 8.13%

Head to Head

National League
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena
  • Cole Stockton 56' goal
  • goal Timothee Dieng 18'
  • yellowcard Jason Demetriou 68'
League Two Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Liam Gibson 5' goal
  • Richard Taylor 15' yellowcard
  • Jason Demetriou 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Phillips 33'
  • yellowcard Alex Kenyon 37'
  • goal Aaron Wildig 55'
  • goal Adam Phillips 73'
League Two
May 2, 2015 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Redshaw 4' goal
  • Aaron Wildig 54' goal
  • Jamie Devitt 66' goal
  • goal Jack Payne 10'
  • yellowcard Gary Deegan 30'
League Two
Oct 4, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gary Deegan 21' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Redshaw 5'
  • yellowcard Shaun Beeley 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Ellison 91'
League Two
Mar 8, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Andrew Fleming 22' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ellison 29' goal
  • Jack Redshaw 70' goal
  • Kevin Ellison 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Leonard 9'