Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.